Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "India has made it very clear [that] it sees this dispute very much as something initiated by Prime Minister [Justin] Trudeau and his government—so they have personalized it in some ways—which leads me to believe that, as long as we have the current government in Ottawa, it is unlikely that we see a change in the diplomatic relationship."
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "Vina Nadjibulla... told CBC News that not only in ASEAN, but in the past two years, Canada has increased its exposure in the Indo-Pacific region in all aspects, including visibility in the Taiwan Strait and participation in military and maritime exercises in the Indo-Pacific region.
" 'The stability and prosperity of the Indo-Pacific region is in Canada's best interest. Canada needs to continue to implement the Indo-Pacific Strategy and build partnerships. In addition to trade, investment and economic prosperity, it should also assist in the peace and stability of the region because we rely on continued peace in the region.' "
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: Vina Nadjibulla outlines how there are "two sides to the story" when it comes to China's green policies. "Chinese investment has made its green technological advancements affordable for the rest of the world. In the developing world today, oftentimes renewable energy is the cheapest option.
“The dark side of the story is that China did this through subsidies and through artificially lowering prices such that (the) solar industry in the US and European Union was wiped out.”
Nadjibulla futhur stresses how the "U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, and other efforts in Europe are trying to make sure the West doesn’t get wiped out when it comes to EVs or batteries."
Featuring: Jeff Nankivell, President & CEO, APF Canada
Excerpt: “'The Indian government has already shown its willingness once to suspend the visa issuance, so it’s possible they could do so again,' he said, adding the biggest impact will be felt in Canada’s large Indian diaspora community.
"Mr Nankivell said that he suspects the diplomatic situation will continue to evolve, and the fallout will be felt for a long time as Canadian police pursue legal action against those allegedly complicit in Mr Nijjar’s death and other criminal acts.
“'That’s going to continue to raise the temperature.'"
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "'There’s never a good time to be getting into a trade dispute, especially with a big country like India. But of course we’re living through a very fraught geopolitical environment and time.'
"...Over the past five years, around a quarter of Canadian pension-fund investments in Asia went to India, up from 10 per cent between 2003 and 2018, according to the Asia Pacific Foundation."
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "Nadjibulla said the chance of India moving to restrict imports of a Canadian product... is unlikely, though not impossible.
'It would be a massive escalation and one that would also obviously hurt India’s economic interests,' she said, adding a more likely scenario would be for India to once again suspend visa services for Canadians, as it did last year as diplomatic relations soured between the two countries.
'I think that might be more the next step, rather than economic sanctions. But of course everything depends on what Canada does next, because we’ve seen India essentially engage in a tit-for-tat so far.'"
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: These circumstances represent a "much bigger campaign of transnational repression with direct involvement from... government of India's agents.
"...What has been extraordinary about the latest development is not just that a murder took place last year is under investigation, but according to Canadian officials... there is an ongoing threat to public safety. That in fact violence has increased over the last year and there is evidence of direct involvement from the government of India."
Avec : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente, Recherche et stratégie, FAP Canada
Extrait : « En matière diplomatique, c’est quelque chose [les expulsions] qui arrive très rarement entre des pays qui ont des relations amicales. Même au paroxysme des tensions entre le Canada et la Chine, on n’en était pas arrivé là.
Ce sera un exercice d’équilibre très difficile. Le Canada seul ne peut se mesurer à l’Inde. »
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "This is an extremely significant development. We are seeing a diplomatic disruption, a rupture in the relationship, on a scale that is unprecedented.
It's maybe too soon to say what the economic consequences will be, but it will definitely have an impact"
Avec : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente, Recherche et stratégie, FAP Canada
Extrait : «La réaction des États-Unis sera celle à laquelle tout le monde prêtera attention.
«Pour que le Canada, à ce stade, obtienne une forme quelconque de coopération de la part de l'Inde et obtienne des comptes pour ce qui s'est passé, il faudrait que l'Inde ressente une certaine pression. Il faudrait que l'Inde ait une raison de coopérer.»
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "We are in uncharted territory, with implications for the diplomatic relationship as well as for Canada's public safety and national security.
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "The reaction from the U.S. is going to be the one that everybody will be paying attention to.
"...In order for Canada, at this stage, to have any kind of co-operation from India and seek accountability for what has happened, we would need India to feel some pressure, we would need India to feel some reason to co-operate.
"...We're not dealing here with a rogue state. We're dealing here with a very important international player."
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "The relations between Canada and India are now at an extremely low point . . . today's developments and the information that has now become available both through the press briefing by our prime minister as well as our law enforcement agencies it's just a new level of escalation and it's the kind of disruption to the relationship that won't be healed anytime soon.
"We're seeing India fully refusing all the allegations, essentially refusing to co-operate. Canada continues to call on India to engage diplomatically, to engage with our law enforcement to get to the bottom of this assassination, essentially, and other violent crimes that now the Canadian government is saying India has been involved in.
"As our prime minister said, there was no desire on the part of Canada to find itself in this huge diplomatic crisis with India, but given the seriousness of the allegations, given the fact Canada now says India was involved in a whole wide campaign of criminal activities, not just one assassination, this step had to be taken. Of course now we are in uncharted diplomatic waters."
Featuring: APF Canada Vice-President Research & Strategy Vina Nadjibulla
Excerpt: "Vina Nadjibulla, research vice-president for the Asia Pacific Foundation, says she’s watching to see how Canada’s peers respond to the “unprecedented, extraordinary” news.
That could mean diplomatic moves behind the scenes, and possibly public statements of support for Canada.
“The reaction from the U.S. is going to be the one that everybody will be paying attention to,” she said.
“In order for Canada, at this stage, to have any kind of co-operation from India and seek accountability for what has happened, we would need India to feel some pressure; we would need India to feel some reason to co-operate.”
Nadjibulla said it was notable that Joly accused active diplomats of involvement in criminality, and that she said violence linked to the Indian government had only increased since Canada made its concerns public last year.
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Topic: Vina Nadjibulla joins Vassy to discuss the political impact on the relationship between Canada and India following both countries expelling diplomats over murder accusations.
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: the expulsions marked “a serious escalation in the diplomatic tensions that have been going on for over a year now between Canada and India.
“We’re seeing a diplomatic rupture,” said Nadjibulla, adding that the response of other countries, including the United States and other members of the Group of 7 bloc of nations, will likely play an important role.
“Canada is continuing to call on India to cooperate with the investigation, but India has refused to do that... What will be decisive in this is the views of our key allies and partners.”
On the Coast with Gloria Macarenko (CBC), October 14, 2024
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy APF Canada
Excerpt: "I have to stress, and I know we often say something is unprecedented, but in many years working in diplomacy and international relations, I haven't seen something evolve in this way, in this public way, a dispute with a partner.
"India is not China, is not Russia, is not North Korea, we have relations, diplomatic as well as people-to-people as well as business ties with India, a huge Indo-Canadian community. India is seen as a strategic partner when it comes to our Indo-Pacific strategy, that's how our allies view India as well.
"So this is an incredible development and we are now at a diplomatic low in the relationship that would have been hard to imagine just a couple of days ago."
Featuring: Jeff Nankivell, President & CEO, APF Canada
Excerpt: "This a very significant development and certainly it's been received very poorly in India and the Indian media is aflame with coverage of this. And, in fact, the India government got out ahead of the story a few hours before it was revealed to Canadian media that the six Indian diplomats, including the high commissioner, had been expelled, effectively. The Indian ministry of external affairs put out its version of the story which was that the diplomats were being withdrawn for their own safety.
"It's very serious and for the RCMP to come out in the way that they did, one assumes, its an indication that they believe they have the evidence. They talked about having made arrests and laid charges against 30 or more individuals with charges related to homicide, extortion, coercion, and intimidation. We will have to see in the days and weeks ahead the details of the individual cases but it's worth noting that this is something now that is in the realm of the justice system and is likely to go on and on regardless of what happens diplomatically between the two national governments."
Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada
Excerpt: "Today's events are just unprecedented. This is really an astonishing set of activities that have happened throughout the day. We've seen the expulsion of diplomats but we've also heard the RCMP, as well as prime minister of Canada, note in no uncertain terms that Canada believes Indian diplomats have been engaged in criminal activities [and] acts of violence here on Canadian soil [and] that because of...public safety issues they had to come out and make publicly these statement that have led to this enormous disruption in the bilateral relationship.
...[But] Canada doesn't want this fight with India. We have had good diplomatic relations for 75 years [and] India is a strategic partner...so Canada doesn't want to find itself in this situation and yet here we are because every effort to engage privately to seek cooperation have gone unanswered."