Dans l'actualité

Canada lends ‘dark vessel’ detection gear to help Taiwan track covert ship activity

The Globe and Mail, August 21, 2025

Featuring: Vina Nadjibulla, Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada

Excerpt: 

Vina Nadjibulla . . . calls the DVD program one of the biggest success stories of Ottawa’s Indo-Pacific strategy. She said Indonesia and Vietnam have also expressed interest in the technology.

Ms. Nadjibulla said she believes Taiwan will be able to use the satellite data to help protect itself against China’s grey-zone tactics – disruptive conduct below the threshold of war – that it uses to coerce the island of 24 million.

“It is sold as something that deals with illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing, but it can also detect dark vessels that are engaged in all sorts of other activities, so anything from drug trafficking to undermining subsea cables and other kinds of infrastructure threats – grey zone tactics that China and other authoritarian actors are involved in,” she said.

China’s canola tariffs are a dangerous trap

The Globe and Mail, August 18, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: In a new op-ed for the Globe and Mail, Nadjibulla argues that China's 75.8 per cent tariff on Canadian canola seed is a "dangerous trap" that should leave Ottawa weary of concessions.

Using trade a "geopolitical weapon," Nadjibulla points out, is a tactic China has used against other democratic to "maximize leverage." She notes that China used a similar tactic in 2019 when "China halted imports of Canadian canola seeds over Canada’s detention of Huawei’s CFO, Meng Wanzhou, causing billions in losses for Prairie farmers and exporters." 

"By hitting canola producers just before harvest, China is aiming at the economic lifeblood of the Prairies. At the same time, Beijing hopes to pit Western farmers against Ontario and Quebec’s auto sector – the industry most invested in maintaining Canada’s tariffs on Chinese EVs. It’s a calculated attempt to fracture Canada’s domestic unity and pressure Ottawa into an early retreat." 

Canada's Opportunities and Challenges in the Asia Pacific

Conversations Live with Stuart McNish, August 18, 2025

Featuring: President & CEO, APF Canada, Jeff Nankivell

Excerpt: When it comes to rebuilding Canada's diplomatic relationship with India, Nankivell tells McNish and fellow speakers that "[i]t's important not only for the affects it might have on trade and investment . . . but it is important to have a good relationship with India dispute [recent] difficulties . . . because India is rapidly increasing it's strategic influence in the {Indo-Pacific] region and the world. There is a strategic dimension that can have a long-term impact on Canada's interests."

"There is enormous potential for Canada to build relationships in Southeast Asia . . .  [those nations] are experiencing rapid economic growth on a sustained basis . . . and becoming more influential in regional affairs and global affairs . . . but [Canada] has to prove itself to be a reliable partner." 

Écologisation du militaire : Pourquoi les dépenses militaires doivent-elles s’aligner avec l’action climatique

Policy Options, 14 août 2025

En vedette : Hema Nadarajah, gestionnaire de programme pour l’Asie du Sud-Est, la FAP Canada

Extrait : « Le monde est actuellement tendu par des tensions géopolitiques croissantes, les budgets pour la défense nationale s’agrandissant dans plusieurs pays, y compris au Canada.

« Mais, tandis que ces gouvernements allouent des milliards aux notions traditionnelles de sécurité nationale, un état d’incongruence profond émerge :
En préparation pour les conflits futurs, nous pourrions être amenés à compromettre notre capacité à lutter contre les urgences climatiques qui nous sont imminentes.

« Le Canada pourrait montrer l’exemple, démontrant que défense nationale et responsabilité climatique peuvent aller de pair. »
 

La Chine riposte avec des droits douaniers élevés sur le canola canadien après une enquête antidumping

The Logic, 12 août 2025

En vedette : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente, recherche et stratégie, la FAP Canada

Extrait : « La Chine a imposé 100% de tarifs sur l’huile de canola canadienne et sur la farine de canola en mars, suite à l’enquête antidumping lancée après qu’Ottawa a imposé des tarifs élevés sur les véhicules électriques, l’acier et l’aluminium fabriqués en Chine l’automne dernier.

« Vina Nadjibulla avance que la décision préliminaire de la Chine dans son investigation antidumping visait à mettre la pression sur les négociateurs, alors que le délai d’octobre pour le Canada afin de réévaluer ses tarifs sur les véhicules électriques approche. »
 

La Thaïlande vend la fierté pour contrer les préjudices

East Asia Forum, 8 août 2025

En vedette : Alexandre Veilleux, conseiller, recherche et communications, la FAP Canada (Québec)
 

Extrait : « La coalition du gouvernement thaïlandais, incluant le parti Pheu Thai aligné à Thaksin, les partis conservateurs et renforcés par le militaire, a établi l’égalité du mariage, partiellement pour attirer des dépenses " roses ", c’est-à-dire le pouvoir d’achat de la communauté LGBTQ+, et pour stimuler le revenu touristique.

« Mais les événements de fierté offrent plus qu’une valeur de célébration et d’économie, servant de plateformes de visibilité, d’activisme et d’engagement politique.

Tandis que le tourisme stimule l’intérêt du gouvernement à apparaître inclusif envers les personnes LGBTQ+, des mouvements locaux utilisent la fierté pour sensibiliser, plaider en faveur de lois anti-discrimination et renforcer les réseaux communautaires. L’économie arc-en-ciel est à la fois une stratégie économique et un mécanisme pour l’avancement des droits LGBTQ+.»
 

Les relations États-Unis-Inde traversent des journées sombres en raison de l’imposition de tarifs douaniers de 50% par Trump

Al Jazeera, 7 août 2025

En vedette : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente, recherche et stratégie, la FAP Canada

Extrait : « L’effondrement des négociations commerciales était une surprise, » affirme Mme Nadjibulla en réponse à l’annonce de l’administration Trump selon laquelle les États-Unis imposeront un tarif supplémentaire de 25% sur l’Inde (portant le total à 50%) en raison de son importation de pétrole russe.

« Il s’agit d’un moment très difficile, possiblement le pire depuis plusieurs années dans leurs relations, plaçant l’Inde dans un groupe restreint de pays sans accord, avec les tarifs les plus élevés.

« Ils ont désormais un chemin pragmatique à parcourir et doivent trouver une approche pour rebâtir la confiance. »

Table ronde Hinrich Foundation - Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada en compagnie de Mary Ng

Hinrich Foundation, 5 août 2025

En vedette : Bureau régional pour l’Asie de la Fondation Asie Pacifique du Canada

Extrait : La Fondation Hinrich et la Fondation Asie Pacifique du Canada ont accueilli l’ancienne ministre du Commerce Mary Ng le 20 juillet pour une table ronde sur les enjeux auxquels fait face l’environnement commercial multilatéral actuel et comment restaurer la stabilité pour le commerce international. La session a été modérée par Chuin Wei Wap, directeur de la recherche de la Fondation, et Barrett Bingley, directeur régional pour le Bureau régional pour l’Asie de la Fondation Asie Pacifique du Canada.
 

Des discussions importantes sur les liens commerciaux seront activées par le retour des hauts-commissaires aux deux capitales : ministre au Canada

Hindustan Times , 4 août 2025

En vedette : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente, recherche et stratégie, la FAP Canada

Extrait : « Tandis que les négociations formelles devront être mises en suspens jusqu’au début de l’année prochaine, nous pouvons avoir des discussions dans des secteurs spécifiques, des dialogues à haut niveau et des échanges aux niveaux ministériels et de hauts responsables cet automne. »
 

L’Inde et le Canada devront réévaluer leurs liens commerciaux avant de poursuivre leurs négociations économiques en 2026

Hindustan Times , 1 août 2025

En vedette : Vina Nadjibulla, vice-présidente, recherche et stratégie, la FAP Canada

Extrait : Alors que le Canada et l’Inde montrent des signes de réinitialisation de leur partenariat économique, Mme Nadjibulla note que les « négociations commerciales formelles devront attendre l’année prochaine, mais que nous pouvons observer des discussions sur des secteurs spécifiques, des dialogues à haut niveau et des échanges aux niveaux ministériels et des responsables cet automne.

« En termes de calendrier, ce qui pourrait être envisageable cette année est un engagement politique à reprendre les négociations commerciales et le lancement d’un processus d’inventaire, étant donné que beaucoup de choses ont changé dans le paysage commercial mondial et dans les calculs économiques des deux pays au cours des deux dernières années.

« Il ne s’agit pas de reprendre les discussions des deux dernières années, le cadre pour une entente commerciale a désormais changé et cela doit également être le cas dans les négociations reprises.»

As Trump’s August 1 deadline looms, tariffs are here to stay, experts say

Al Jazeera, July 29, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: Despite announcing a string of trade deals in the past few weeks, Trump's tariff agenda, and the looming August 1st deadline, continues to put nations and economists on edge. 

Nadjibulla claims that "No one is getting zero tariffs. There’s no going back" when it comes to some of the consequences of the US Administration's 'America First' policies. 

Where do the tensions between Cambodia and Thailand come from? (Le Devoir)

Quebec’s Francophone Media, July 25, 2025

Featuring: Advisor, Research & Communications (Quebec), APF Canada, Alexandre Veilleux

Excerpt: Veilleux spoke with Quebec’s francophone media, including Radio-Canada ("L’info maintenant"),  Radio-Canada Quebec ("C'est encore mieux l'après-midi"), and LCN ("LCN maintenant"), on the escalating tensions on the Thai–Cambodian border. 

He also sat down with La Presse, Le Devoir, and Radio-Canada to point out that "the current crisis was reminiscent in its scale of a 2011 clash that lasted a week before subsiding," but that the hostilities which began last Wednesday are "probably the most intense between the two countries since 2011. This is the first time that Thailand has used combat jets on the Cambodian border."

While the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has made steps to defuse the situation, Veilleux notes that the hands-off approach may be ineffective. "Both sides have said they want to ease tensions... What we want to avoid, on the contrary, is a surge of nationalism on both sides. That's what happened in May, and that's where it can amplify the conflict."

Carney vs. the chiefs

The Hill Times - Politics This Morning, July 17, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: "APF Canada is hosting an invite-only India-Canada business roundtable from 10:30 a.m. to 1 p.m. in Ottawa today... [that] will bring together the former high commissioner of India to Canada Ajay Bisaria, the former high commissioner of Canada to India Nadir Patel, the acting High Commissioner of India to Canada Chinmoy Naik, the director general for South Asia at Global Affairs Canada Marie-Louise Hannan, and APF Canada’s Vice-President Vina Nadjibulla

Nadjibulla told Politics This Morning that the meeting’s agenda is to 'take stock of the relationship' between the two countries and identify areas of opportunity, especially in economic cooperation and trade diversification.

'We will have a discussion to see what we are hearing from the business community, what we are hearing from the government, and how to continue that momentum,.'

...She clarified it is not an official engagement by the Canadian government, and is an informal forum similar to the ones APF Canada hosted in India in February this year, and in November 2024."

Anand says Indo-Pacific strategy will have economic focus but maintain values

CBC - The Canadian Press, July 13, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: Nadjibulla explains that "Anand's visit this week 'sets the stage' for Carney's planned visits this fall to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations leaders' summit in Malaysia and the APEC forum in South Korea."

We’ve got mail

Politico - Canada Playbook, July 11, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: Ahead of Canada's Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand's meeting in Malaysia with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, Nadjibulla notes that the newly appointed foreign minister will be focused on building on Carney’s June 5 telephone call with Chinese Premier Li Qiang. 

 “What China wants – and we’ve seen this in their discussion with Australia – is co-operation on AI, co-operation on technology. There are serious national security and economic security concerns.”

China’s state-driven trading and security posture, especially around technology has been a long standing concern for the U.S. – one that Canada shares. She adds that "China is not an alternative [trading partner] when it comes to those critical sectors."

Trump’s message to trade partners: Trim ties with China

The Globe and Mail, July 10, 2025

Featuring: President & CEO, APF Canada, Jeff Nankivell

Excerpt: When it comes to which nations will actually get on board with the latest U.S. push to isolate China, Nankivell notes that "for some countries, like Canada, the calculus will be obvious." 

“If concessions related to China are able to head off concessions in other directly bilateral areas, then that may be the lesser of two evils from a Canadian point of view, in a situation where there are no good choices." 

On the other hand, the decision may be harder for other Asian countries, such as Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines, which had long standing trade and investment ties to Beijing. “If they do have to make a hard choice, the China trade relationship is worth more to them economically than the U.S. trade relationship," said Nankivell.

Canada turns to Asia as efforts to shift trade from United States expand

The Globe and Mail, July 8, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: In light of Canadian Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand's visit to Japan this week, Nadjibulla notes that Canada and Japan are likely to sign a Security of Information Agreement to address transfer of defence technology, a move to also divest from the U.S.

But she notes that  Canada can’t shift trade away from the United States without also investing in trade relations with Asian economies. “It’s not enough just for us to look for partners in Europe... there is no diversification or reduction of overreliance on the United States market without the big Asian markets.”

Anand visiting Malaysia, Japan as Carney crafts approach to Indo-Pacific strategy

The Canadian Press,  July 7, 2025

Featuring: APF Canada Senior Fellow, Kai Oswald

Excerpt: Taking a look at Canada's relationship building strategy with the Indo-Pacific region, The Canadian Press cite Kai Oswald's contribution to APF Canada's May 2025 Strategic Reflection: The Indo-Pacific Imperative for Canada’s New Government. His essay, titled "From Momentum to Meaning: Canada’s Strategic Opening in Southeast Asia," notes that Canada is building partnerships in Southeast Asia through prime prime ministerial visits and  trade delegations

"Even if Canada cannot offer clarity on the path ahead, many in the region want it at the table as an interlocutor and sounding board while they navigate the turbulence."

Is Pakistan pulling an end-run around India in Washington with its cryptocurrency hype?

The Telegraph Online (India),  July 7, 2025

Featuring: APF Canada Senior Fellow, Michael Kugelman

Excerpt: "Pakistan’s crypto push has already opened up many doors in Washington. Consider that until Trump hosted Pakistan’s army chief, the only known visiting senior Pakistani official to get a White House meeting during Trump’s second term was Saqib. He met one of Trump’s top crypto officials.”

U.S. Carrier a Show of Strength for Manilla

South China Morning Post, July 5, 2025

Featuring: Vice-President Research & Strategy, APF Canada, Vina Nadjibulla

Excerpt: Nadjibulla notes that the USS George Washington aircraft carriers docking in Manilla signal's the US's commitment to the Indo-Pacific region despite ongoing tensions in Europe and the Middle East. 

"Beijing will view the port call as further evidence of US containment ands justification for China's stepped-up naval activity, including 'grey-zone' tactics designed to pressure US regional allies."